Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.580649e-03 0.001760 0.001940 0.002134 0.002337 0.002542 0.002766
2025-02-16 1.303266e-03 0.001560 0.001827 0.002123 0.002439 0.002767 0.003130
2025-02-23 1.027802e-03 0.001334 0.001662 0.002037 0.002447 0.002880 0.003368
2025-03-02 8.082278e-04 0.001146 0.001523 0.001964 0.002458 0.002989 0.003595
2025-03-09 6.334364e-04 0.000992 0.001407 0.001906 0.002476 0.003099 0.003819
2025-03-16 5.034120e-04 0.000876 0.001324 0.001877 0.002522 0.003234 0.004067
2025-03-23 4.401175e-04 0.000836 0.001326 0.001943 0.002672 0.003484 0.004442
2025-03-30 3.615245e-04 0.000766 0.001286 0.001954 0.002755 0.003657 0.004728
2025-04-06 3.085216e-04 0.000724 0.001276 0.001999 0.002875 0.003870 0.005058
2025-04-13 2.781909e-04 0.000711 0.001301 0.002084 0.003042 0.004135 0.005446
2025-04-20 2.002823e-04 0.000614 0.001209 0.002020 0.003026 0.004187 0.005589
2025-04-27 1.350713e-04 0.000523 0.001118 0.001950 0.003000 0.004223 0.005712
2025-05-04 1.023042e-04 0.000494 0.001126 0.002030 0.003184 0.004540 0.006197
2025-05-11 5.846921e-05 0.000427 0.001075 0.002032 0.003273 0.004747 0.006561
2025-05-18 1.794104e-05 0.000332 0.000971 0.001956 0.003264 0.004836 0.006789
2025-05-25 7.646697e-07 0.000254 0.000878 0.001890 0.003264 0.004934 0.007027
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000190 0.000799 0.001837 0.003275 0.005045 0.007278
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000145 0.000743 0.001811 0.003320 0.005195 0.007576
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000131 0.000749 0.001878 0.003487 0.005495 0.008052
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000105 0.000721 0.001890 0.003579 0.005702 0.008416
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000090 0.000715 0.001935 0.003715 0.005963 0.008845
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000085 0.000734 0.002020 0.003904 0.006290 0.009353
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000052 0.000664 0.001956 0.003889 0.006359 0.009549